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I don’t think the Evergrande situation in China is a red flag. So a radical change won’t happen in the next five years. For 50 years successive governments have talked about fixing the housing market, and for 50 years they’ve failed. I also don’t think government policy will fix the situation. If house prices fell tomorrow by 10pc then you would have every semi-professional landlord in the world buying them up. They might get cheaper in the long run but not in the short to medium term - and that is where most of us live. So if price is your ‘pinch point’, then you definitely should buy now - if you need it and can afford to. House prices will not get any cheaper in the medium term. You asked me a question: what could cause house prices to fall? It’s ve ry simply that.” Brian Lucey
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And that has happened many, many times in the past 800 years.
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“All it would take for house prices to collapse here is for institutional investors to find better rates of return elsewhere. Over time, other market forces could lead to a big drop in prices, he warned. He said there will be significant policy changes that will negatively affect those who treat residential property as a financial asset. Kinsella cautions against investors buying to “flip” the property. And if the person has built up a strong deposit and wants to live in the property for 10 years or more.” When asked if a Sinn Féin government would reduce prices, he said: “Not based on the policies I’ve seen.” He suggested that Sinn Féin policies such as abolishing property tax and reducing carbon taxes would further increase prices by making house-building more expensive.Īsked if would-be home-owners should buy now, despite prices rising by another 9pc in the past year, he said: “Yes, it is a good time if you can afford it. “The objective of almost all government policy is to keep house prices high so I would be very interested in a simple question put to every TD: would you like house prices to go up, stay steady or fall in your area?”
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